Wednesday, April 22, 2015

Weather Washington Cascades- Extended Outlook

4-22-2015

The pattern through May 5 will feature troughs of low pressure coming down from the northwest. The bottom line weather will be above normal precipitation with average to above average temperatures.

500 mb map-18,000'

 Custom Weather  Services from Weather Experts


Click to check out our forensic & custom weather services
Email us West Coast Weather Contact us

Tuesday, April 21, 2015

Fagin's Hike of the Week- Mt. McDonald

Updated: Tuesday April 21, 2015.

Snowfree hike near Kent, Mt. McDonald or on some maps Point McDonald.
View of Mt. Rainier from top @ Dennis Long


Road walk
 Coltsfoot flower starting to bloom


Michael looking at the Olympics @ Dennis Long
Driving directions: From junction of Highway 18 and and Highway 169 take Highway 169 (Maple valley Highway) south 2.7 miles to Kent-Kangley Road and turn left (east). Then go 6.7 miles on this road. Then park on right next to Blue DNR gated road (do not block gate) and park here. Sign will say: SE Kent-Kangley Road and 346th SE.

Trail stats: 4.1 miles one way elevation gain is about 2500 feet and top is at 3300 feet. Follow main road to the top.
Park car near here

Park near this gate this is where you start



We took the area marked "gate" the north most entrance and hiked to "radio tower."
Directions are the best estimates that we have so please bring map and compass and or GPS.


 Custom Weather  Services from Weather Experts


Click to check out our forensic & custom weather services
Email us West Coast Weather Contact us


Tuesday, April 14, 2015

Weather Washington Cascades- Extended Outlook

Updated April 14, 2015

Forecast models through at least April 27 are showing a strong ridge of high pressure at the surface and aloft at times. Thus above normal temperatures and below normal precipation will be the rule starting later this week..

500 mb map at 18,000'

 Custom Weather  Services from Weather Experts


Click to check out our forensic & custom weather services
Email us West Coast Weather Contact us

Fagin's Hike of the Week- Manastash Ridge Observatory

Updated: April 14, 2015
Just outside of Ellensburg this is a road walk that is gated through the end of April. Enjoy snowfree hike with flowers starting to come out. At top is the observatory (usually closed) with great views to north and south. Thanks to Alan Bauer and Dennis Long for photos.



View from top - Stuart Range @ Alan Bauer
Pines with Stuart Range in background
Big herd of Elk @ Dennis Long
Grass Widow @ Alan Bauer
Desert Lupine @ Alan Bauer
Driving directions: From I-90 Exit 109 at Ellensburg, turn right at end of off ramp, and drive 0.5 mile north to the first traffic light. Turn left at traffic light onto Umptanum Road and set your odometer here. Drive out of Ellensburg on this road and stay on it. At 5.0 miles (you’ve left farm land behind and climbed up into Manastash Ridge by now you hit end of pavement onto gravel. At 10.2 miles at a sharp turn in the road you reach the parking lot for Umtanum Creek Falls trail on your left and continue on. Then at 11.4 miles you pass the access for Hanson Pond Road (another good road hike) and continue. Finally, at 15.4 miles, or just a bit more than 5 miles from Umtanum Creek Falls Trail,  and about ½ mile after the road starts descending from Ellensburg Pass area, you come to a "unmarked" road on the right. This is Observatory Road, gated until May 1st each year. Parking for 3-4 signed for and you need a Discovery Pass.

Trail stats: Hike to about 2.4 miles on the main road  then at a junction  veer to the right and go to head to the observatory.  At 4.6 miles you reach the ridge, go right on ridge road and at 4.9 miles you reach the observatory. Gain under 1000 feet with top close to 3900 feet. 


 

 Custom Weather  Services from Weather Experts


Click to check out our forensic & custom weather services
Email us West Coast Weather Contact us


Disclaimer: There are many factors which you should consider in deciding whether to proceed with an outing, including the visible weather at the trailhead, the strength and experience of the party, snow and avalanche conditions, route conditions, etc. You are the final decision maker whether to proceed. West Coast Weather, LLC dba Washington Online Weather cannot be held liable for loss or injury arising from your decision to proceed, and expressly disclaims all liability related thereto. Redmond, Washington USA. Also, please bring map-compass and GPS to help with trail directions as our directions are our best estimate.

Tuesday, April 7, 2015

Fagin's Hike of the Week- Pinnacle Peak

Updated 4-8-2015

Hike near Enumclaw. Short hike but a good workout
Pinnacle Peak

On the way up view of farmland and foothills

Salmon berry fruit will be tasty later in summer
   
Other names have been Mount Peak or Mount Pete
Trillium
View near top
Fagin at summit photo @Dennis Long


Driving directions: From Enumclaw drive .8 mile east on state Route 410, then turn right onto 284th Street, drive 1 1/2 miles and turn right again on Southeast 472nd Street. In less than .5 mile, find the obvious trail heading uphill on your left and a parking area, elevation 770 feet. There is a very small sign at the trailhead
.
Trail stats: Two miles round trip, elevation gain about 1,000 feet.

Custom Weather Forecasts Services 
 Click to check out our forensic & custom weather services
Email us West Coast Weather     Contact us



Weather Washington Cascades - Extended

Issued 4-8-2015

The forecast models are indicating below normal precipitation for the period now through April 21. The map below shows a ridge of high pressure at times. However my confidence in the general forecast is low as we get some differences in what the different models are saying.

500 mb map


Custom Weather  Services from Weather Experts


Click to check out our forensic & custom weather services
Email us West Coast Weather Contact us

Wednesday, April 1, 2015

Washington Cascades- Extended Outlook

Updated 4-1-2015

Most forecast models are bringing above normal precipitation through April 14 and the main reason is troughs of low pressure (see link to map below) will drop down from the northwest over the period. The major uncertainly in the  forecasts is if temperatures will be above or below normal. I would think they would tend to be below normal.

500 mb map for April 10


Click to check out our forensic & custom weather services